Executive Summary

A paper posted to arXiv on September 21 counted the questions written on the web, all of them. It pulled 13.4 billion sentences ending in a question mark out of 110 collections of web pages spanning 2013 to 2025, then sorted each one by the kind of page it sat on. Questions scraped off the web have long served as a stand-in for what people want to know. Question-answering training sets rest on that assumption, so do the benchmarks that score search, and so does content planning. This article looks at what happened when someone measured the assumption.

The quietest number is 1.9%. That is the slice of 2025 question occurrences that came from forums, message boards and other places where people post their own writing. In 2013 it was 9.3%. The drop cannot be read straight, because the composition of the crawl itself changed a great deal over twelve years. The researchers applied two corrections: they recounted using only the hosts that stayed alive throughout, and they regressed out the effect of crawl size. What survives both is a decline of close to half. Over the same period questions themselves got shorter, and the share carrying a sentence of background around them went down with them.

Sections 1 through 4 follow what the paper says. The conflict-of-interest discussion at the end of section 4 and the data quality reading in section 5 are this article's, not the paper's. The full text is public on arXiv, so anyone can check the figures.

Key figures

Source: Zhou, McCloskey, Srinivasan, "You Can Tell Who's Asking", arXiv:2609.24106 (2026-09-21).

13.4 billion

Question occurrences counted

Drawn from 110 snapshots, 2013 to 2025. Mean length of one occurrence is 12.8 tokens

93.2%

Copied strings among the 1,000 most frequent questions

The 2024 figure. In 2015 it was 71.7%. The same class is 3–4% of distinct questions corpus-wide

9.3% → 1.9%

Share of occurrences posted by people themselves

A 79% fall in twelve years. Adjusted for crawl composition it is 42–56%, and the researchers' best estimate is about 45%

0.725 → 0.554

Accuracy (AUC) of telling provenance from form alone

The first is against copied strings, the second against commerce FAQ writing. A coin flip would score 0.5

1

How to Put a Source Tag on 13.4 Billion Questions

The material is FineWeb, a public corpus built from the web pages Common Crawl collects by keeping the English body text and running it through quality filters. It is in wide use as pretraining data for today's large models. The researchers took 110 snapshots, from the 2013 crawls through the 2025 ones, and kept only the sentences that end in a question mark, run 5 to 100 words, and either open with a question word or carry an interrogative expression. After Unicode normalization and case folding, 13.4 billion were left.

Half of this study sits in the unit of counting. The researchers counted not how many different questions exist but how many times a question appeared on a page. The same sentence sitting on 100 pages counts as 100. Anyone scraping questions off the web has generally read that number as the size of a demand. Appear often, wanted often. The paper nails this down at the outset. Occurrence counts, it writes, "measure how often a string was published and not how often it was asked."

So each question got a tag for where it was written. Five classes, and the first rule that matches wins.

  • Posted by a person — a host classified as a forum or message board, or a page whose address carries a path such as /forum, /thread, /topic or /community.
  • Copied — not caught by the rule above, and the same sentence appears word for word on two or more different domains.
  • Commerce FAQ — a host classified as a shop or a customer support page.
  • Editorial — a host classified as news, a blog or a magazine.
  • Unclassified — whatever matched none of the four.
The five source tags one question can carry 1 Posted by a person 2 Copied 3 Commerce FAQ 4 Editorial 5 Unclassified 61% → 73% The paper's own weakest link Checked top to bottom; whichever rule matches first becomes the question's tag. Row 5 holds the questions that slipped past all four rules.
▲ Pebblous original diagram — classification rules from the methods section of arXiv:2609.24106

Reading the classification rules keeps you from over-reading the numbers that follow. The copied tag is not a verdict that a machine wrote the sentence. It is an observation that the identical string sits on several sites. The paper states that it ran no machine-generated-text detector at all, on the grounds that a question averages about twelve words and no detector is trustworthy at that length.

The paper names its own weak spot first. The unclassified share, the questions that matched none of the four rules, grew from 61% to 73%, and the researchers wrote that this is the weakest part of their scheme. They also published a comparison against human annotators. Agreement between annotators on where a question came from was κ 0.52, which is passable; agreement on whether a person genuinely wanted the answer fell to κ 0.23. People cannot settle that among themselves. So the paper claims nothing about genuine or fake, and claims only where the question was written.

2

The More a Question Appears, the Less a Person Had to Do With It

The researchers took the 1,000 most frequent questions of 2015, 2020 and 2024 and counted the tags. Copied strings were already 71.7% of the 2015 list, then 86.8% in 2020 and 93.2% in 2024. In those same years, copied strings account for only 3 to 4% of distinct questions corpus-wide. A class that is rare across the web as a whole occupies nearly all of the top of the chart.

The other side emptied at the same pace. Among the top 1,000, questions coming from the places where people post ran 6.3% in 2015 and 0.3% in 2020, and they stayed at 0.3% in 2024. The top of the chart became a slot that fills by a logic other than human curiosity.

What fills the 1,000 most frequent questions 2015 Copied 71.7% Human 6.3% 2020 Copied 86.8% Human 0.3% 2024 Copied 93.2% Human 0.3% Bar length is each class's share of the top 1,000 questions. Grey marks questions from forums and boards. The rest is split among commerce FAQ, editorial and unclassified pages.
▲ Pebblous original diagram — values from the top-question analysis in arXiv:2609.24106

Looking at the sentences themselves is the fastest way to see what sits up there. The most duplicated question of 2020 was "what are you waiting for", with 72,331 occurrences. Next came "how can we help you". Neither is a sentence someone threw out wanting an answer; both are the boilerplate you drop into a banner or a chat widget. They only wear the shape of a question.

The genuine-curiosity side was never peaked to begin with. 97% of distinct questions appear once or twice across the whole period. All of the top 1,000 together make up less than 3% of occurrences. Human asking lies scattered along a long tail, and copy-paste builds the peaks.

The guess that a handful of spam farms build those peaks is not supported by the data. The share of the top 1,000 questions held by the top 100 hosts fell from 11.7% to 2.8%. This is not a picture of a few large sites stamping out the same phrase in bulk; it is a picture of very many sites each laying down a little of the same phrase. It reads as a sign that putting question-shaped text on a page for the search engines became standard industry practice.

This is where the study touches practice directly. Public datasets built by harvesting questions off the web already number several, and the paper's appendix gathers the family into one table. CCQA scrapes the schema.org question markup embedded in pages; WebFAQ narrows that to FAQ markup only. GooAQ takes its questions from search-box autocomplete, and PAQ says up front that it was machine-generated. Of the first two the paper writes that they "treat the result as natural asking".

This study counted the questions written into body text with no such markup, and by count those are the majority. No prior work, the researchers say, has looked at provenance and change over time at the level of the question. Anyone who weights questions scraped off the web by how often they occur, or feeds the most frequent ones first into training and evaluation, is weighting copied strings rather than human interest. The paper overturns no single dataset's quality. It overturns the habit of reading frequency as demand.

3

What Moved Into the Space the Forums Left

The time series is cut into five eras: a 2013–2015 baseline, the search optimization era of 2016–2019, the COVID period from 2020, the early AI period from late 2022 when ChatGPT arrived, and 2024–2025. Across that span the share of occurrences posted by people dropped from 9.3% to 1.9%. As a fall, 79%. Over the same years copied strings rose 25.9%, and commerce FAQ, starting from a small base, doubled.

The next step is the one that makes the study worth trusting. Twelve years of crawling grew and changed what it reached, so the first job is to split a change in the web from a change in the crawl. The researchers checked it two ways: regressing out crawl size, and recounting on a fixed panel of the 79,826 hosts present in at least 90% of all snapshots.

They wrote up the result in the direction that cuts their own claim. The claim that copied strings grew as a share did not survive the adjustment. The regression coefficient came out at −2.0% with a p-value of 0.49. Measured instead as how many land on a single page, a 13.3% increase held, at p 0.006. So the paper pinned itself down: it claims "the growth of the manufactured layer as a rate and not as a share."

They held the same ruler against the decline in questions posted by people. On the fixed panel the forum decline shrinks to 42–56%. The two corrections converged at roughly 45%, and the researchers recorded that value as their best estimate while stating that the 79% measured crawl-wide should be read as an upper bound. The direction does not change; the size is about half.

How far did human-posted questions fall? Three counts, one dataset Whole crawl −79% Hosts alive throughout −42% to −56% Both controls agree about −45% (best estimate) Bar length is proportional to the decline. The higher the row, the more crawl-composition change it carries. The paper calls the crawl-wide 79% an upper bound and about 45% its best estimate.
▲ Pebblous original diagram — values from the adjustment analysis in arXiv:2609.24106

The side that filled up has its own evidence, not only the side that emptied. The share of pages whose address carries a path such as /faq or /questions-and-answers rose from 0.82% to 1.42%, steepest between 2017 and 2019. That window overlaps the spread of the structured markup that folds an FAQ into a search result. Two separate strands of data point the same way. Once putting a question on the page earned a slot in search, question-shaped text multiplied.

At the point where you want to read AI into this current, the paper hits the brake. Verbatim duplication across hosts, the evidence behind the copied tag, peaked at 21.6% in the March 2021 snapshot and came down to 18.3% through the AI eras. The peak precedes the ChatGPT release by twenty months. The paper states that it cannot attribute any question to model-written text. The force that turned the web's questions into something built for machines arrived before generative models did. The name the paper itself gives that stretch of years is the search optimization era.

4

What Form Catches, and What It Never Will

The paper's title says you can tell who is asking. So what do you go by? The researchers ran part-of-speech analysis and regular expressions over a sample of 2.2 million questions to measure the shape of each one, then tested whether those features alone could predict where it came from.

One expectation missed first. Whether a question opens with a question word or takes a yes-or-no shape told the classes almost nothing apart. The association came out at 0.03, the only one of five pre-registered hypotheses to fail. Length did the work instead. Questions posted by people average 12.9 tokens, copied strings 8.5. The share carrying an explanatory sentence around them splits 7.3% to 3.9%, and the share using first-person words such as I or we splits 29.7% to 21.4%. Long, with the circumstances attached, and with something of the writer in it: that is the human side.

A model fed those three signals separated questions posted by people from copied strings at AUC 0.725. Useful, and some way from perfect. Swap the opponent to commerce FAQ and it sinks to 0.554. A coin flip is 0.5, so it effectively cannot tell them apart. The paper's conclusion is honest here. Form picks out the slapdash question farm; a commerce FAQ that someone wrote with care gives nothing away by its looks.

How well form separates depends on the opponent Against copied strings AUC 0.725 Against commerce FAQ AUC 0.554 0.5 = coin flip A model fed three signals — length, context, first person. Closer to 1 means better separation. The lower bar all but touches the 0.5 mark: that is shop and support FAQ as the opponent.
▲ Pebblous original diagram — values from the classifier results in arXiv:2609.24106

Hold the same signals against the twelve-year series and you can see which way the web's questions moved. Taking questions as a whole, without splitting them by class, mean length fell from 13.41 tokens to 11.85, down 11.6%. Over the same twelve years the share with background attached fell from 9.95% to 6.12%, down 38.5%. The paper describes the change as the human around the question diminishing. A line of background, a note about one's own situation: that part goes first.

How far a question stands on its own was measured on the same sample. Split by part-of-speech rules, a little over half are complete in a single sentence, 38% are fragments of a conversation, and 12% carry a word whose referent you have to look back for. The portion needing surrounding context to resolve fell over the series from 14.0% to 8.6%. The other side, the rise in the self-contained portion, was not statistically significant, so the paper made no claim about it.

The context analysis hands an especially uncomfortable result to anyone who cleans data. Questions posted by people depend most on surrounding context to make sense, at 19%, and commerce FAQ is the most complete in a single sentence, at 59%. A filter that keeps only clean, self-sufficient questions cuts the human side first and lets more of the manufactured side through. A quality filter can work in the direction of lowering quality. The context labels themselves reach only 63% accuracy against a human check, which is why the paper calls this part exploratory.

4.1A Detection Method Is Also an Evasion Method

A conflict-of-interest disclosure sits near the end of the paper. All the authors are with Bodhium Labs, a company that builds commercial products in generative engine optimization, and the same company funded the work. Generative engine optimization is the business of shaping content so that an AI answer cites your page. The team that measured how the web's questions are being manufactured for machines works at a company selling the product that helps with that manufacture.

The researchers did not hide the tension; they wrote it down as dual use. A classifier that separates questions posted by people from manufactured ones serves the side filtering data, and it serves just as well the side writing text the classifier will not catch. Read the signals from the first part of section 4 backwards and you have an evasion manual. Make the sentence longer, attach the circumstances, mix in the first person.

There are two ways to read the disclosure. One is to discount the result because it comes from a party with a stake in it. The other is that being inside this industry is what let them see this data at this angle. The figures and the code are public, so replication can shrink the first worry. The second does not shrink. The distance between research that measures data quality and the industry that lowers it is shorter than you would expect. This paragraph is this article's reading, not a claim of the paper's.

5

Why Pebblous Is Watching This Paper

The sentence from this paper that will last longest is not a number but the definition in section 1. What the web lets you count is publication, not asking. Anyone working with data can restate it in other words. Volume is no substitute for provenance.

When we talk about the quality of training data, we mostly start by counting size. How many hundreds of millions, how many terabytes, how much duplication was stripped out. This study shows that inside one and the same corpus, the more frequent a sentence is, the further it stands from a person. Weighting by frequency, taking the most frequent as representative: the practice itself manufactures a bias. How much of a thing you have does not reveal that bias. Counting where each piece came from does.

This is why Pebblous talks about provenance whenever it talks about AI-Ready Data. Reading the paper leaves one question to turn back on our own data. In the corpora we use for training and validation, can we count today the share a person actually posted? The four items below are not items from the paper; they are questions raised by carrying its method over to our own work.

  • Can you look up, right now, which host each collected document came from? Provenance classification is possible only while that record survives.
  • Have you counted how many times the same sentence appears across different domains? Cross-domain duplication survives document-level deduplication.
  • What does your quality filter throw out first? A rule that strips short, context-dependent sentences can throw out the human-written side first.
  • Where do you use frequency as importance? Sampling weights, evaluation set selection and frequently-asked-question lists are all such places.

None of the four asks for a new model or a new tool. They ask what you wrote down alongside the data at collection time. Separating provenance at the moment of collection is something an earlier article on separating training data by source took up from the data audit side. Provenance is not recoverable later. Write it down when the document arrives, or counting the human share in that corpus stays an estimate forever.

Thank you for reading this far. Every figure this article cites can be checked by anyone in the full text of arXiv:2609.24106. We are curious how far you record provenance in the data you handle. If there is something you set out to count and could not because the record was missing, we would like to hear about it.

R

References

Primary source

Datasets

  • 2.Penedo, G., et al. (2024). "FineWeb." Hugging Face. The corpus this study drew its 110 snapshots from.
  • 3.Common Crawl Foundation. "Common Crawl." The crawl underlying FineWeb.